| ||
| ||
Technical Peak Oil site
An alternative view to the pessimists
UK based energy site with articles on oil and Peak Oil
Technical Peak Oil and energy transition site
Peak Oil news blog
Energy news blog
Oil depletion site from Richard Heinberg
Future technology blog
Energy blog
Peak Oil & energy resource site
Learning to live in a low energy world
Peak Oil & Gas - Global Public Media Original Peak Oil & gas articles
Environmental and natural resource blog
Peak Oil directory
This Peak Oil site is named after the geophysicist who 'invented' the idea of Peak Oil
Peak Oil production blog
Peak Oil and alternative energy blog
Daily oil news blog
Energy blog
Peak Oil & energy descent blog
Peak Oil articles & news
News article blog
Daily energy news and discussion
UK specific version of 'The Oil Drum'
Interactive Peak Oil learning reference
The Beginners Guide To Peak Oil
Alternative energy technologies
An apocalyptic view of Peak Oil
More Peak Oil & Other Resources
|
Peak Oil Crisis - The End Of Cheap Oil
Current Oil Prices 200 Day Moving Average Oil Prices
Latest Peak Oil News Headlines Peak Oil News Archives
'Peak Oil Crisis' is a comprehensive news and resource site for those interested in the issue of Peak Oil. We are UK based but are interested in stories from anywhere this global problem manifests itself.
For those of you who haven't come across this phrase before, the term Peak Oil is used to describe the global maximum in conventional crude oil production which is predicted to happen in the not too distant future (if it hasn't happened already). Once this maximum has been reached global oil production will generally decline forever afterwards. It is something that will only become apparent some time after the event has happened due to fluctuations in oil production from year to year. At the moment it appears that oil production is on a plateau with a peak occurring sometime in 2005. Production is struggling to stand still let alone increase.
Peak Oil will occur when roughly half of the world's oil reserves have been used up. All oil fields peak and then decline by their very nature and the concept of global Peak Oil is simply the extrapolation of this idea to the sum of all known oil fields. Peak Oil is thought to be imminent because there have been fewer 'super giant' oil field discoveries in recent years to put any potential peak in production further into the future. New oil production is coming online but at the moment this is largely being counteracted by the declines in production from older oil fields. This, however, doesn't mean there aren't more very large oil fields to be discovered. Unconventional oil reserves (of which there are the equivalent of trillions of barrels) such as Tar Sands, for example, may become viable and the fear of Peak Oil may go away for this generation. However, as no new oil is being created (unless you believe in the Abiotic Theory of oil) then a peak in the conventional oil that we are familiar with will eventually occur.
Usable oil will not run out in the near future but prices will rise as global demand continues to increase (at about 2% per year) and attempts to outstrip a stagnating (or peaking) supply. The actual date that Peak Oil occurs is not as important as the fact that global oil output will probably fall short of demand. Of course, oil supplies may be constrained not just by geological factors but for other reasons as well including geopolitical instability (e.g. conflict, political manipulation/unrest), a physical shortage of rigs, a deteriorating oil infrastructure, lack of investment and a rapidly aging oil industry workforce.
Once prices rise then demand for oil will eventually fall. Prices will then fall once again causing demand to once again pick up. As the difference between potential demand and an ever decreasing supply increases a ratcheting up of prices will occur.
People constantly argue about the dates and what the effects of Peak Oil will be.
We are not 'end of the world' type pessimists as many who discuss Peak Oil are. We use the term 'Crisis' to simply mean the great change and transformation that will occur from the very wasteful system we have at present to a completely new system. For a start, something like 2/3rds of all oil is used in transportation. So simple efficiency in this area will immediately have massive effects on oil usage.
We don't believe there will be any great 'die off' (war or cataclysm aside) as some Peak Oil advocates predict. For example, if you look at the third world, their populations continue to rise rapidly even though they use proportionally far less oil that we do in the West.
We see great opportunities for new technology, much of which hasn't even been envisaged yet. We don't see a return to the stone age. The economic system will change radically as economic growth (and with it the ever increasing waste of resources) slows. We envisage a system of natural capitalism and a publicly owned non-inflationary money system. (Our other website deals with prepaid Mastercard debit card and bank account facilities for those in the UK.)
In the left and right hand columns you will see links to sites and articles which discuss the Peak Oil issue in greater depth, some of which are very technical in nature.
Above you will find links to interesting current news stories regarding Peak Oil and the oil situation in general.
|
A good introduction to Peak Oil
World Oil Production And Peaking Output PDF report from Peak Oil Netherlands Foundation
(Theory of non-fossil origins of oil)
Report from Boston University charting the end of cheap oil
Hirsch & Laherrere 2005 Peak Oil Production Reports Two reports (in PDF format) examining the global oil production peak
Richard Heinberg
Anti Peak Oil / end of oil book
Peak Oil - Global Energy Crisis Looming Massive information page from the UK's Natural Law Party
Peak Oil article by Colin Campbell & Jean Laherrere
Peak Oil - A Crisis Facing The Entire Planet Article from UK's BNP
The effect of Peak Oil on the economy
World Oil Depletion And The Inevitable Crisis Lengthy article on oil depletion and alternatives
The Oil Crunch And The End Of Growth The effect of Peak Oil on economic growth
Cracks In The Oil Economy: Hubbert's Peak PDF 2005 report from CSISP, Goldsmiths College, London
Some fascinating statistics from Gibson Consulting
Peak Oil Depletion Projections Nice graphs from Trendlines
The link between Hubbert's Peak and recent wars
From Caltech professor
From Feasta Review
By Charles H. Featherstone
An interview with Richard Heinberg
From Metroactive
From WTRG Economics
From Museletter
From Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
A 'Manhattan Project' For Energy From Joint Forces Quarterly
Rolling Stone article
Iraq And The Problem Of Peak Oil From Globalresearch.ca
Peak Oil: Beyond Optimism And Pessimism Head Heritage article
When Drill Holes Become Rat Holes By Stuart H. Rodman
Financial Sense Online
(Hubbert's Peak & The Economics of Oil) Financial Sense Online
Financial Sense Online
Prison Planet
UK energy survival guide
No Jobs & No Oil: The Unsustainability Of Full Employment & Cheap Energy Article by Jake Gordon
Report about oil shale from The Daily Reckoning
|
Copyright © 2006-8 Peak-Oil-Crisis. All Rights Reserved | ||